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Tropical Storm Kirk heads toward Caribbean, not expected to reach Mexico

Cancun, Q.R. — The 11th named tropical storm of the Atlantic season formed early Saturday about 450 miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands and is on a westward path into the Caribbean Sea.

The storm has been moving westward quickly and is expected to gain slight intensity before weakening near the Lesser Antilles later in the week.

“Kirk is moving through an environment of warm water and within an area of relatively low shear,” AccuWeather Expert Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski said, adding that the dry air will limit intensification.

Photo: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

As Kirk nears the Lesser Antilles, he’s expected to encounter a wall of wind shear that meteorologists say will likely tear the system apart, turning Kirk into a tropical wave by Thursday or Friday. Until that happens, a watch remains in effect for the Lesser Antilles.

Kottlowski says that while Kirk will intensify over the weekend, he “will not be a threat to land during the next few days.” Forecasters say that Kirk is unlikely to develop into a hurricane.

According to the National Hurricane Center, it is common for the Atlantic to develop storms after mid-September and into October. They report on average, four named storms occur after the September peak season with three becoming hurricanes, one of which is a Category 3 or higher.