Cancun, Q.R. – Weather predictions for the upcoming summer tropical storm season have been released.
The Weather Company has put together an outlook for the Atlantic basin for the summer tropical storm and hurricane season, predicting a total of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.
They say that this year’s Atlantic hurricane season will be less active than last year with the number of named storms and hurricanes being near historical average.
Taking El Niño’s potential development (later this summer) into account, the 12 named storms and eight hurricanes, two of which are predicted to be at least Category 3, match the 30-year average for the Atlantic basin. The Weather Company says there is a lot of uncertainy regarding El Niño’s possible development, and therefore, how much of an effect it could have on the hurricane season.
Dr. Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist with The Weather Company explains, “If El Niño fails to launch, we may be too low with our numbers.”
A report headed by Dr. Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University shows similar results with 11 named storms and fewer hurricanes this year with only four expected in the Atlantic Basin.
Officially, the Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1 and runs through November 30, however, storms sometimes form outside those months. Last January, Hurricane Alex developed while Tropical Storm Bonnie was recorded in May. Already this year, Tropical Depression One turned into a Tropical Storm which was named Arlene. This is the third season in a row where a storm has formed in the Atlantic before the official season start of June 1.