Playa del Carmen, Q.R. – Recent heavy rains and strong winds along a majority of the coastline of Quintana Roo are the result of a tropical disturbance.
Meteorologist Luis Antonio Morales Ocaña, with the Municipal Coordination of Civil Protection, says that the National Hurricane Center is monitoring the system, warning that it could turn into a tropical cyclone in the next 48-hours and that they are continually providing updates to Civil Protection.
As of this morning, the National Hurricane Center says the system has a 20 percent chance of developing into a cyclone over the next 48-hours.
“This low pressure system of instability, also called a tropical disturbance, has a 20 percent chance of evolving into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring the system and giving me updates,” he said.
Ocaña Morales said the National Weather Service had only detected the tropical wave, but now the Hurricane Center has updated the situation sending a “severe weather warning for heavy rain.”
He explained that currently there is an area of instability in the southern portion of the state along the coast. This instability is “interacting as tropical wave 45, which is opposite to our shores, is estimated to land on Quintana Roo on Friday.”
While the development of a cyclone is possible, he says that “there is a probability that the tropical disturbance will clash with cold front number 11, which is already crossing the country, and will interact in the Gulf of Mexico decreasing favorable conditions for the development of a cyclone.”